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    See my blog where I discuss the present situation in some detail.

    The seat projections models, all of them, go out of the window with this suggested three way fight.

    The big question is what will happen over the next three weeks. I have given a number of reasons why the LibDem surge will be short-lived. I suspect, however, they will do better than polls originally indicated (they usually do). There is a lot of froth on the LibDem polling positon and it wil be an increasingly interesting campaign, that is certain. Cameron is at his best when he is up against it and the next debates will be all the more interesting as a result of all this. DC played too 'safe' last time. It will be different next week.

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