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    During the euro election coverage on the TV last night it was said that the Tories would need a swing of over 8% to take an overall majority in a general election. This has only been achieved twice since 1945 and the showing in last week's elections, it was said, did not show signs that the Tories could win enough seats. Their showing in the Euro elections was similar to that achieved in 2004, a year before they lost the general. So while it is encouraging for them it certainly isnt a done deal.

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