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    They are not all pointing towards a hung Parliament Howard.

    The problem is that most commentators still use UNS and that will not work and has never been successful in translating votes to seats. Even the few other seat calculators, not based on UNS, may not be able to cope with the rise of the LibDems throwing out the figures. The Andy Cooke model, using the Times survey, suggests a Tory overall majority of 6 for example but with this new factor it could easily be 30/40 either side.

    This is what is going to be so fascinating tomorrow night and will keep us glued to the result programmes.

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