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    Ian - the polls can be remarkably accurate and they are more sophisticated than ever before. You can see that from the Mayoral elections in London with YouGov who were spot on and ICM who were right in 2005. Most polls are within the margin of error. Where they have always had a problem is in the translation of votes percentages to seats. So they are a good guide to what is happening but you do always have to watch for the odd 'outier'.

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