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    That is his opinion. I disagree and have good reason for it. For instance there is plenty of polling evidence to suggest the Conservatives came out on top in the NHS debate brought about by Dan. The latest poll over the weekend lengthens the Conservative lead as 'others' come back to the major Parties.

    I remember, Keith, back in the late 70's, what people (many from the right but a lot more from the left) were saying about Mrs T and her chances. I was right then, based mainly on gut instinct.

    By all means keep your spirits up by grasping at things like this but any sober analysis says that Labour are finished. As Mike Smithson says from Political Betting, there was a 'sea change' in public opinion back in April that sealed Labour's fate.

    The real question is regarding the scale of any Conservative win. Conservatives are almost certainly going to be the largest Party in the Commons but will there be an overall majority and will it be a landslide?

    But the really interesting questions now are really about the scale of any defeat faced by Labour. What Ministers will lose their seats? Will they be able to win more than 100 seats? Will they be able to recover and remain the main left opposition or will the LibDems arise to replace them?

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