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  JHG - he can call it any time.......
  
  No, he must call it to be held early June 2010 so that mean we could be only about 14/15 months or so, away from the campaign starting in earnest, it gives him increasingly limited options. With his back against the wall and with the resources the Conservatives will have available a long campaign will benefit us if he goes for June 2010.
  
  We are unlikely to be out of recession until the middle of 2010 and the public may not feel better off, despite statistics, until the latter part of 2010 or even 2011. House prices are forecast to fall 16% this year and another 9% in 2010.
  
  The situation will be getting steadily worse throughout this year for Brown.
  
  Like you I think he will hang on to the bitter end.
  
  The point is, is he right to do so?
  Labour may well suffer more damage the later he leaves it and there is a good case to say that the economy needs the election to be settled for confidence to be restored.
  
  In a way I hope he does hang on because I would love to see the Labour Party destroyed to a third party rump like UKIP. On the otherhand I am concerned about what will happen to the economy over the next 14 months or so. On balance I would prefer an earlier election.

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