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Keith.
The actual truth of where the 10% figure comes from is the IFS analysis of DARLING's budget, which includes (hidden away in the small print) 7% cuts per annum, from 2011 I believe. Because of Conservative ring fencing of health they calculate that to match the same overall cut, other services would be cut by 10%.
I suspect that whatever Party gets elected there will have to be bigger cuts than that. The economic situation is so dire and the budget so overestimated economic growth there can be no other option.
I believe that the best option is a 20% cut starting right now.
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