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Oh! I just saw Jon Iverson on the news discussing this very issue.
Sealion would probably never have worked. The Germans had too few landing craft and would have been reliant on totally unsuitable Rhine barges towed by slow moving tugs. Any form of heavy swell and they'd be a goner. With the RAF having air superiority (just) and the Royal Navy hugely outnumbering the German Navy, any invasion force would have been decimated before it even reached the shore.
Even if the Germans had somehow landed, the cross-channel supply lines would have to be maintained, again with the RN to challenge it. Every single available soldier including those who were camped in the SE having recently returned from Dunkirk would have been here to challenge them if they had landed.
It was a pipe dream, thank goodness.
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