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    There is certainly a lot of evidence that people react differently in the privacy of a polling booth than when interviewed for a poll. I am not sure to what extent though this could be true in this US election, apart from that evidence Marek, for one thing a there have been a lot of new voter registrations among ethnic minorities who have not previously voted and that should work in Obama's favour.

    If I was a betting man I would place my bet on Obama but I would not entirely be surprised if there was an upset.

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