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    Sometimes they get it wrong - they mis-called the result of the 2016 referendum. At the time I was genuinely shocked (but glad because I bet on Leave out of sheer devilment), but since then I've come to wonder how could they know more than we do. So I bet £5 and win £1 if we don't leave on March 29th; why not £1.50, or just 50p - on what basis can political forecasting really be that accurate? Perhaps it's more a question of managing punters' bets...

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