Political Comment.
18 December 2007
This Political Comment page will be closing down soon.
We have had a good run with this page. A small but brilliant band of contributors have generated more than 65,000 readers which is very good for a humble page on Politics. But now with more facilities needed, we wont leave our contributors high and dry, but will open a new Politics section soon within the members club.
UPDATE:The New Section is now running. We have changed the overall name to Members Club to incorporate both sections. If you are not already a member and would like to join the Members Club and join in the fun...
then please email me Paul Boland (dover7@msn.com) just telling me who you are and I will get you onboard. It's that simple.
What will be the long term impact of this, will there be any?
A short term bounce will happen, after all they are at a very low ebb at the polls so if this does not happen they really will be in a bad way. But will it be sustained in the long term?
His narrow win does not confer authority over his Party. He is not in tune with the 'sandal wearing' brigade in the LibDems so he could have some discipline problems.
Under Ming the LibDems were an irrelivance and I am not convinced that with Clegg's victory that this will change. They are caught in a classic Lab/Con squeeze and make no mistake, the clear (and true) message will be 'vote LibDem and get Labour'....
This result may be good for Gordon Brown, if Clegg can restore LibDem fortunes with poll figures closer to 20%.
Somehow, however, I believe that any such revival will be short lived. The 'time for a change' bandwagon will gather pace with DC as the main beneficiary and that will be the main driving force behind the next election result as it was in 1997.
Of course, there then begs the question - will Gordon Brown survive to the next election? A bad set of results in the local elections next May could see increasing discontent among his backbenchers.