howard mcsweeney1- Location: Dover
- Registered: 12 Mar 2008
- Posts: 62,352
not the "last of the summer wine" chap, but suddenly man of the people nick clegg.
two opinion polls in tomorows papers are as follows.
comres/sunday mirror
blues 31%
yellows 29%
reds 27%
bpix/mail on sunday
yellows 32%
blue 31%
reds 28%
lots will change before polling day, but nice to see the big two parties getting concerned.
Brian Dixon
- Location: Dover
- Registered: 23 Sep 2008
- Posts: 23,940
thats the way to go.
howard mcsweeney1- Location: Dover
- Registered: 12 Mar 2008
- Posts: 62,352
brian
when i switched on the box this morning i saw boy dave making a speech to the converted mentioning the words "hung parliament" countless times and how evil the concept was.
previously the idea was never considered by him.
makes me wonder whether "red keith" has been right all along.
Brian Dixon- Location: Dover
- Registered: 23 Sep 2008
- Posts: 23,940
howard,makes you wonder if cameron is running scard by a hung parliment.
DC was probably just galvanising his team to protect against complacency.
howard mcsweeney1- Location: Dover
- Registered: 12 Mar 2008
- Posts: 62,352
dont think it is that simple sid.
the blues and reds have made it clear that the possibility did not exist.
interestingly the reds have not fallen into the trap of responding to the idea, the blues certainly have.
Lib Dems out in force in Deal High Street today.
I'm afraid that with their proposals for an amnesty for long term illegal immigrants and their ludicrous idea of 'pass laws' for work permit holders they wont be getting my vote.
Guest 640- Registered: 21 Apr 2007
- Posts: 7,819
Thanks for that info on the polls Howard. Shows a massive turnaround in fortunes for Nick Clegg and a general blow for the Tories. Some expert on Sky News said at the current reading it would equate to a very rough
300 seats Labour
200 seats Conservative
100 seats LibDems
So the Conservatives are struggling suddenly and it is somehow unbelievable. All momentum seems suspended. Yes Keith was definitely banging on about a hung parliament and saying things like "keep the faith" to yours truly when all seemed totally lost for Gordon Brown. Jeez Gordon came through some black moments where there looked to be no chance, no chance at all, that he could possibly front a new government, but lo and behold..he has risen....
He has a sort of air of well worn credibility about him somehow and has made more comebacks than Lazaras himself. Seeing his wife with him constantly has also improved his image and showed a softer side. But of course Clegg is the star of the moment. Its almost revolutionary to see someone's star rise so fast.
Where is Keef anyway...where are yer Keef!!??
I wish the LibDem presence in Dover was stronger and more attractive. I have reached out a bit, and saw a pair of canvassers in the square last week - charming, but not likely to attract a floating vote - but I am not being reached or attracted effectively or actively. A real missed opportunity, even for a better showing even if a win isn't viable. Shame.
Guest 655- Registered: 13 Mar 2008
- Posts: 10,247
See my blog where I discuss the present situation in some detail.
The seat projections models, all of them, go out of the window with this suggested three way fight.
The big question is what will happen over the next three weeks. I have given a number of reasons why the LibDem surge will be short-lived. I suspect, however, they will do better than polls originally indicated (they usually do). There is a lot of froth on the LibDem polling positon and it wil be an increasingly interesting campaign, that is certain. Cameron is at his best when he is up against it and the next debates will be all the more interesting as a result of all this. DC played too 'safe' last time. It will be different next week.
If he is best when up against it, it didn't show much in the debate. Shifty and under- and over- rehearsed by turns. His charisma bypass was obvious, and he failed to grasp the moment. I would have thought Grasp The Day would be a familiar phrase to a privately educated chap.
Guest 645- Registered: 12 Mar 2008
- Posts: 4,463
Sometimes I feel that all those in Parliament should be 'hung'.
Marek
I think therefore I am (not a Tory supporter)
Guest 649- Registered: 12 Mar 2008
- Posts: 14,118
Well my turn this Saturday I will be out in the town from about 0830 please come over for a chat. Thank you.
Guest 655- Registered: 13 Mar 2008
- Posts: 10,247
Bern - he was indeed over rehearsed and he and his advisers were over confident and complacent in that debate. Yes, he is at his best when he is really up against it and you will see that next week and the week after.
Brian Dixon- Location: Dover
- Registered: 23 Sep 2008
- Posts: 23,940
nah no way didnt do a thing for me.cameron got a c minus from me,with brown getting a c plus clegg got an a plus.
I will judge the yellows after the second tv debate it should be fun .
howard mcsweeney1- Location: Dover
- Registered: 12 Mar 2008
- Posts: 62,352
bern
the yellows have a much better chance in folkestone and hythe and have a few honourable members along the south coast.
they will pour most of their resources into those constituencies, no doubt stephen sprowlstone will comment on this.
But if Dover is marginal, surely they should "up their game" here too?
howard mcsweeney1- Location: Dover
- Registered: 12 Mar 2008
- Posts: 62,352
it is only marginal between the blues and reds here, folkestone is completely different, blues/yellows there.
But even so.........I am open minded about this election, quite genuinely, and even if a yellow victory is unlikely, much good will and good publicity has been missed, and some decent spadework lost.